The
politics of Iran are somewhat puzzling for most Americans, in most
part because we are largely uninformed about who is in charge and
what is going on. The Islamic Revolution of 1979 brought to power
radical Islamists led by Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini, who created a
unique and peculiar political system mixing theocratic and republican
institutions. It is a complex system of competing institutions,
parliamentary factions, powerful families and military-business
lobbies.
Today,
the system is dominated by hard-line conservative groups backed by
the most powerful politician in Iran, the Supreme Leader Ayatollah
Ali Khamenei, the son of Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini. The
conservatives have managed to sideline both the right-wing populists
backed by former President Ahmadinejad and reformists calling for a
more open political system. Civil society and pro-democracy groups
have largely been suppressed.
The
Iranian political system is corrupt and rigged in favor of powerful
groups that care about money more than ideology and who deliberately
perpetuate tensions with the West to distract the public from
domestic problems. To date, no political group has been able to
challenge Supreme Leader Khamenei. Dissent, freedom of the press and
freedom of expression remain highly restricted in the country.
Journalists and bloggers are continuously arrested by the
Intelligence Unit of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps for
"colluding with the foreign media" and sentenced to prison.
In the
past week and a half there has been a complete shut down of the news
after the internet was taken down by the Ayatollah Khamenei, well
known for not being the brightest guy in the world. He further made
life more miserable for Iran's population of 82 million by increasing
the cost of gasoline by 50 percent. As a result, young people have
taken to the streets to protest that they can't make a living by any
means. Performers at musical concerts, particularly those featuring
female vocalists and musicians, are being arrested, and a full 25
percent of the population is now living in poverty. The young people
have reached a breaking point. The Revolutionary Guard was ordered
to crack down on the young protesters and as a result sources say
that 200-300 young people have been recently killed along with
thousands arrested to suppress the protest. Not good news when a
tyrannical government is killing its own people.
What
it does say is that the oil tariffs of President Trump are working to
bring the government of Iran to heel. Iran has a long history of
destabilization and consequent overthrown of government by the
people. Analysts predict the overthrow of the regime of Ayatollah
Khamenei within the year for the simple reason that the corruption it
has created has become so intolerable that the whole country is soon
to break out in rebellion to throw out the people involved in this
corruption.
The
same scenario has just taken place in Lebanon and will soon likely
happen in Venezuela as well. A month ago in Lebanon, young people
began demonstrating to protest the corruption of Prime Minister Saad
Hariri over the past three years. In a very brief time the
protesters were successful in throwing out this billionaire
politician and his corrupt family and are now looking to replace him
with a leader that will serve the interests of the “patriots”.
You won't see this in the news because the media does not want anyone
getting the idea that the ultimate power in any country is and always
has been in the hands of its people.
Tyranny
does not work. War is not the answer. Killing the young of your
enemy in the streets or on the battlefield is no longer tolerable.
There are other means of restoring power and authority to the people
and ridding nations of self-serving oligarchs. Hats off to President
Trump in taking the necessary measures to help set in motion a new
era of world peace.
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