Flying
cars, or air taxis, have been around for a long time, in both our
dreams and in reality. Operable prototypes have been around since
the 1960's. And if you have watched re-runs of “The Jetsons” or
“Back to the Future,” you may already have indulged in flights of
fancy about winging it to work and kissing traffic jams goodbye.
As
major brands like Toyota, Uber, Hyundai, Airbus, and Boeing promise
to soon whisk riders through the skies in flying taxis, the dream is
getting closer to becoming a common shared reality. The goal is to
link urban centers with the suburbs while leapfrogging the
inconvenience of earth-bound traffic. Call Uber and you could soon
catch a ride in an air taxi that could cruise at 180 mph at altitudes
of between 1,000 and 2,000 feet. NASA has reported that air space
could expand to accommodate air taxi traffic up to an altitude of
5,000 feet.
It’s
not surprising that companies — from venture-backed start-ups and
Uber to major auto and aviation companies — are rushing to grab a
foothold in this nascent market. Flying cars have the potential to
significantly disrupt the landscape of urban mobility, and investors
are pouring millions into commercialization efforts, attracted to the
fact that electric air taxis have the potential to lower operating
and maintenance costs dramatically.
Electric
air taxis come in several shapes and sizes, and many look quite
different from conventional fixed-wing aircraft. Electric motors
replace jet engines, and vertical takeoff and landing (VTOL)
aircraft, designed to avoid the need for long runways, have rotating
wings and, in some cases, rotors in place of propellers. Only a few
companies are making vehicles that actually look like cars with
wings.
“Air
taxis are definitely the next phase of mobility,” says Joe Praveen
Vijayakumar, Frost & Sullivan senior industry analyst. “Urban
centers across the globe are struggling to come to terms with the
rising vehicle numbers and the resulting congestion, especially
during peak traffic hours. When air taxis become widely
commercialized, they will definitely ease the traffic burden on city
roads. They will usher in a nimble form of intra-city travel,
transporting people on the shortest possible route between two
locations.”
But
growth faces hurdles. Incidents like the death of basketball legend
Kobe Bryant in a helicopter crash have highlighted safety concerns of
flying taxis. While the first flying taxi services may have human
pilots, later replaced by remote-controlled or AI-powered autonomous
vehicles, regulators around the world have been trying to get ahead
of the commercialization rush by creating standards within which
developers can innovate. Aside from risks to passengers as well as
people on the ground, air taxis could pose hazards for other
aircraft. And they could also become a target for hackers. Any
regulations in development must cover everything from vehicle
safety, airworthiness, and traffic control to noise pollution,
operator certification, and software security.
How
much will it cost? Lilium Aviation (whose 5-seat air taxi is
pictured above) Chief Commercial Officer Remo Gerber told CNBC that
flights could take passengers from Manhattan to JFK Airport within
six minutes for about $70 - much less than Uber’s helicopter rides,
which now cost from $200 to $225 for the same trip. (Boeing's Uber
Air Taxi pictured below,)
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